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Future research of resilience of Saqqez city against the earthquake crisis
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Esmail Rostampour1   , Rasul Samadzadeh * 2, Mohamadtaqhi Masoumi2 |
1- Ardabil Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ardabil, Iran
2- Department of Geography, Ardabil Branch, Islamic Azad University, Ardabil, Iran |
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Abstract: (44 Views) |
Abstract
The current research was conducted with the aim of providing a management model of earthquake risk and crisis in Saqqez city. Applied research and its method is descriptive-analytical; The required statistics and information have been collected through library studies and remote sensing data. In order to investigate the possibility of earthquake risk, the role of physical and horizontal development of the city in increasing earthquake risk was analyzed. For this purpose, by using digital topographic and geological maps and using geographic information system and historical and instrumental seismographic data, the map of co-seismic curves and earthquake risk zoning were drawn. In order to collect data, different perspectives of resilience were placed in accordance with rural-urban links and the most effective indicators were selected by cross-effects analysis so that scenarios could be designed based on them. The results of the research show that based on the tectonic size map and the study of the history of earthquakes in the region, there is a possibility of high-magnitude earthquakes in Saqqez region, and also the city hastened towards unstable heights and in the northern and western parts of the city in the sanctuary of subsidiary faults. The second degree has been developed. "Plan of scenarios" shows an inverse situation, that is, the prevailing of favorable scenarios over a crisis, which means that the occurrence of most situations, not only does not limit the other situation, but mainly leads to its strengthening and empowerment. The reason for this is that the indicators mentioned in the plan of resilience scenarios based on rural-urban links are indicators that have a mutual effect, that is, they are influenced by other indicators as well, and none of the indicators are dependent. In addition, the laws are indicators that are capable of controlling the entire system, which should be taken into account in the scenario plan. These two results once again reveal the importance of paying attention to regional planning and avoiding the spatial separation of settlements.
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| Keywords: Resilience, Risk management, Earthquake, Future research |
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Full-Text [PDF 1140 kb]
(21 Downloads)
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Type of Study: Research |
Subject:
Special
Received: 2022/11/8 | Accepted: 2024/03/13 | Published: 2025/07/21
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